TEHRAN Considering the reality that the fertility rate in Iran is stabilized at around 1.6 children per woman, which is much lower than the rate needed to replace its aging population, the shift of society from young to middle-aged has become inevitable.According to the very first five-year nationwide advancement plan (1989-1993), the policies focused on decreasing the overall fertility rate from 6.4 kids in the Iranian year 1365 (1986) to 4 kids in 1390 (2011) and minimizing the population development rate from 3.2 to 2.3 percent in the exact same period, IRNA estimated Mohammad-Javad Mahmoudi, an authorities with the National Institute for Population Research, as saying.However, the taken procedures, back then, resulted in a wide change and change in population indicators and a noticeable decline in population development and fertility rate far beyond the set goals of the very first development strategy in the country, the official noted.The outcomes of the census in 2011 and 2016 showed that the trend of the countrys market modifications had a substantial deviation from the goals of the very first five-year development plan, the main noted.The population development in 2011 and 2016 was announced to be 1.29 and 1.24, respectively.
The figure reached 0.7 in the previous Iranian year (March 2023 March 2024).
Population aging 5 times faster than growthAccording to the most recent census, the variety of aged citizens in the nation is growing by 3.62 percent which is 5 times faster than the overall population development rate, which is 1.24 percent.In Iranian year 1385 (2006-2007), there were 5,121,043 men and women aged above 60.
In 2015, 10 percent of the countrys population was older than 60, ISNA priced estimate Mohammad-Javad Mahmoudi, an authorities with the National Institute for Population Research.In the next 30 years, the population aged 60 years or older is projected to hold a 32 percent share of the entire population, that is, the senior will represent one-third of Irans population by 2050, the main noted.Currently, males and females aged above 60 make up some 11.5 percent of Irans population, an official with the health ministry has said.For the time being, elderly females account for 52.3 percent of the total population, outnumbering males (47.7 percent), ISNA priced quote Saber Jabbari as saying.The aging of people signifies increased life expectancy.
Population aging shows a shift in the distribution of a countrys population towards older ages which is not a favorable indication.
To put it simply, the variety of youths in society decreases in contrast to the senior population.It is one of the most essential challenges dealing with the country.Despite offering rewards to encourage childbearing in line with youth population law, the desired growth in the youth population has actually not been achieved yet.At best, Irans population with an overall fertility rate of 2.5 will reach 102,890,000 by the next seven years, IRIB priced quote Mahmoudi as saying.In the last two years, the fertility rate has stabilized around 1.6 which has heightened concerns over the reducing trend in population development in the coming years, and the probability of turning Iran into among the earliest countries in the world, the official highlighted.MT/ MG