Brazil

(Analysis) Picture the scene: tariffs cascade across borders, striking allies and adversaries with equal ferocity; the stock market pitches like a ship caught in a tempest; the once-indomitable dollar falters under mounting strain.To most, this is Donald Trump unleasheda volatile force dragging America, and perhaps the world, toward economic calamity.Wall Street wails, foreign leaders bristle, the public recoils, and the narrative hardens: this is chaos incarnatea one-man wrecking ball smashing decades of prosperity.But what if theres more beneath the surface? What if this turbulence isnt reckless destruction but deliberate upheavala calculated dismantling that sets the stage for something greater?Step back for a moment.
A tantalizing possibility emerges.
Behind Trumps bombast lies a cadre of sharp mindsScott Bessent, his newly minted Treasury Secretary, and Stephen Miran, his chief economic strategistquietly crafting a vision to reimagine Americas place in the global order.Their writings suggest ambitionnot retreat but resurgence.
A weaker dollar that still commands global trade.
A revitalized industrial heartland humming with steel and ships.
A nation poised to reclaim the greatness Trump so often invokes.Far from plunging America into ruin, this could be a daring gambit to make it truly great againif it succeeds.Chaos by Design: Trumps Economic Storm and Its Possible Blueprint Scott Bessent.
(Photo Internet reproduction)The Minds at WorkConsider the masterminds behind this storm.
Scott Bessent isnt your typical Washington insider; hes a hedge fund titan who helped George Soros topple the Bank of England in 1992.A former Yale lecturer in economic history, Bessent combines market acumen with an eye for powers ebb and flow.Stephen Miran brings his own intellectual firepowera Harvard PhD and hedge fund strategist whose November 2024 paper, A Users Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System, has sparked intrigue across Wall Street.The 41-page manifesto argues that Americas industrial decline stems from an overvalued dollara currency so strong it priced factories out of business, shrinking manufacturing from 28% of GDP in the 1950s to just 10% today.Mirans ideas are provocative: tariffs as leverage, currency deals to tilt global scales, even fees on foreign dollar reserves.Wall Street has taken note; Yahoo Finance dubbed his paper a potential playbook for Trumps team.Miran himself calls it options, not doctrine.
Their shared obsession? Deindustrializationthe slow bleed that hollowed out Americas Midwest and fueled Trumps 2024 victory.Vice President J.D.
Vance paints it starkly: one Beijing firm builds more ships annually than all U.S.
yards have since World War II.For Bessent and Miran, this isnt just about jobsits existential.
A great America needs factories that churn out steel and ships, not just stocks traded on Wall Street.Chaos by Design: Trumps Economic Storm and Its Possible Blueprint Stephen Miran.
(Photo Internet reproduction)A Pattern in the Chaos?So what might their strategy entail? One theory suggests theyre deploying tariff chaos as an opening salvodisrupting markets to force nations into trade negotiations.This could lead to reciprocal tariffs that level the playing field or even a Mar-a-Lago Accorda pact where countries peg their currencies to the dollar, making U.S.
goods cheaper abroad while reigniting domestic manufacturing.Hints abound.
Bessent has spoken of green, yellow, and red bucketsa triage system where allies enjoy low tariffs and protection while rivals face exclusion.The dollars DXY index has dipped 3% since January 2025 as tariffs bite.
Stocks slid 5% in March, yet the dollar remains central to global tradeoil is still priced in greenbacks.Miran himself once suggested tariffs could set up currency moves latera notion that todays turmoil might be less collapse than lever.Bretton Woods: 70 years of a global economic order.
(Photo Internet reproduction)The Greatness EquationWhat does greatness mean here? Imagine a seesaw: a strong dollar boosts Americas purchasing powercheap imports and military dominancebut crushes factories by making exports too costly abroad.Deindustrialization has left America lean on tanks or ships for crises.
A weaker dollar could reverse thisspurring exports and jobsbut only if it retains its crown as the worlds reserve currency.Most economists say you cant have both: weaken the dollar too much, and its dominance slips away.
Bessent and Miran seem to disagree.They may envision a deal where allied nationsJapan, the U.K peg their currencies to the dollar in exchange for U.S.
protection, creating a web of dependency akin to tenants funding their landlords empire.Its audaciousand precarious.
Critics warn that destabilizing the dollar risks financial panic; banks and oil markets loathe uncertainty.
Major trade partners like China or Mexico may balk without trust forged through alliances or crises.History offers cautionary talesthe tariff wars of the 1930s plunged economies into depression.
Yet Miran counters: America remains indispensable as a market; theyve only got the United States to sell to.
If hes right, pain could force concessions.And it recalls moments when America rewrote the rules before: Bretton Woodsin 1944, tying money to the dollar for a postwar boom; Reagans 1980s free-market push, amplifying U.S.
wealth.
Could this be another pivot?Thatchers and Reagans 1980s neoliberal free-market push, amplifying U.S.
wealth.
(Photo Internet reproduction)A Gamble Worth WatchingThis isnt certaintyits hypothesis wrapped in risk.
If Bessent and Miran are indeed steering Trumps policies, theyre gambling on unmaking an aging system to forge one where America builds anew rather than borrows endlessly.Success could cement U.S.
supremacy for decadesa manufacturing powerhouse with a still-dominant dollar.
Failure might fracture markets, alienate allies, and accelerate decline.The storm rages now; whether it clears to reveal a master plan or mere wreckage remains unseen.But dismissing it as madness risks missing something profound: there may very well be design in this chaosand perhaps even greatness waiting in its wake.





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