Trade setup: For a runaway rally, Nifty needs to hold 10,850 level

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
Indian market managed to post decent gains on Tuesday despite witnessing high volatility during the session
The NSE benchmark Nifty rose by 55.90 points or 0.52 per cent. However, it was the second day in a row when the market resisted the
10,820-10,850 levels
be crucial
After the brief consolidation in the 10,820-10,850 zones, if Nifty wants to see any meaningful upmove, it will have to move past the
10,850-mark and stay above that. The longer the market remains below this critical mark, higher will be the chances of it consolidating for
some more time
Wednesday will see the levels of 10,850 and 10,930 acting as important resistance
Supports may come in at 10,780 and 10,735 zones. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is 62.3188 and it has marked a fresh
14-period high, which is bullish
The RSI does not show any divergence against the price, but it is seen breaking out of a pattern resistance. The daily MACD stays bullish
while trading above its signal line
No significant formations were observed on the candles
Going by the pattern analysis, Nifty still holds the falling trend line that joins 11,179-mark to its subsequent lower tops. The Nifty will
have to move past the 10850 level and remain above that to resume any meaningful upmove. Overall, with Nifty still continuing to resist the
10,820-10,850 zones, it has shown inclination to move past this zone
FO data suggest short covering and also fresh longs were seen being added. Though it remains slightly overstretched on the daily charts, the
Nifty has demonstrated underlying strength and shows inclination to breakout from the current resistance area. We recommend continuing
remaining highly stock-specific while making purchases and extremely vigilant at higher levels unless a meaningful breakout is
achieved. STOCKS TO WATCH: Long positions were seen added in stocks of JSW Steel, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, HDFC, TCS, LT Finance
Holdings, KPIT, TV18 Broadcast, Exide, TATA Elxsi, BHEL, Nalco and NCC. (Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA is Consultant Technical Analyst at
Gemstone Equity Research Advisory Services, Vadodara
He can be reached at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia)