RBI Sharply Lowers Growth Projection To 5% For 2019-20

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
Real GDP growth for 2019-20 is revised downwards from 6.1% in the October policy to 5.0%, RBI said.Mumbai: The Reserve Bank on Thursday
sharply lowered the growth forecast for the current financial year to 5 per cent from the earlier estimate of 6.1 per cent on account of
weak domestic and external demand.India''s economic growth according to government data has slipped to over six-year low of 4.5 per cent in
the second quarter of the current fiscal mainly due to contraction in manufacturing sector output."Real GDP growth for 2019-20 is revised
downwards from 6.1 per cent in the October policy to 5.0 per cent, 4.9-5.5 per cent in H2 (this fiscal) and 5.9-6.3 per cent for
H1(2020-21)," RBI said in its fifth bi-monthly monetary policy review.While improved monetary transmission and a quick resolution of global
trade tensions are possible upsides to growth projections, a delay in revival of domestic demand, a further slowdown in global economic
activity and geo-political tensions are downside risks, it said.On the positive side, however, it said, monetary policy easing since
February 2019, and the measures initiated by the government over the last few months are expected to revive sentiment and spur domestic
demand.The rate setting Monetary Policy Committee noted that economic activity has weakened further and the output gap remains
negative.However, several measures already initiated by the Government and the monetary easing undertaken by the Reserve Bank since February
2019, are gradually expected to further feed into the real economy, it said."Data on corporate finance and on projects sanctioned by banks
and financial institutions suggest some early signs of recovery in investment activity, though its sustainability needs to be watched
closely