Exit polls predict a Congress return in Haryana, hung house in J K

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
The results, if exit polls turn out to be accurate, also suggest that the multipolar Haryana politics is turning into a bipolar one.3 min
read Last Updated : Oct 05 2024 | 11:32 PM IST Most exit polls, which released their forecasts on Saturday evening after the polling in
Haryana concluded, said the Congress was set to return to power in the state after a gap of ten years with a clear majority in the 90-member
Assembly. For Jammu and Kashmir, exit polls predicted a hung house, with the National Conference-Congress alliance likely to emerge closer
to the majority mark of 46 in the 90-member legislature
The Assembly polls in J-K took place after ten years and for the first time after the repeal of Article 370 of the Constitution in August
in Haryana, if it comes about, would have implications for the farm politics in the region and also for the Centre, given the state's
proximity to Delhi
Punjab, the epicentre of farm protests in 2020-21, is ruled by the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which was part of the Opposition INDIA bloc in the
2024 Lok Sabha polls and has been sympathetic to the farmers' cause. The results, if exit polls turn out to be accurate, also suggest that
the multipolar Haryana politics is turning into a bipolar one between the Congress and the BJP, with the Indian National Lok Dal and
Jannayak Janta Party likely to have reached a point of an inexorable decline. Most exit polls predicted a comprehensive win for the
Congress in Haryana, second only to the 67 seats it won in 2005, its highest ever
Some of the other good performances of the Congress in Haryana over the decades were in the Assembly polls in 1967 and 1968, when it won 48
seats each on both occasions, 52 in 1972 and 51 in 1991
In 2019, the Congress won 31 seats, while the BJP won 40 and formed the state government in alliance with the JJP. In the 2024 Lok Sabha
polls, the Congress, which contested nine of the ten seats, won five, and the BJP won the remaining five
The vote share of the Congress, along with its ally, AAP, was better than that of the BJP
alliance and retain its support base among the Other Backward Classes (OBCs), Punjabis and upper castes. As for exit polls, the India
Today-CVoter survey predicted 50-58 seats for the Congress and 20-28 seats for the BJP
Exit polls of Times Now, New 24 and Republic TV-PMarq had similar forecasts for Haryana.Jammu and Kashmir Assembly Elections Almost all
exit polls for the Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections stated that no single party or pre-poll alliance would cross the majority mark of 46
in the 90-member Assembly
The India Today-CVoter exit poll was the only one to predict that the National Conference-Congress alliance could come close to breaching
it, winning 40-48 seats
Others predicted a hung assembly with the NC-Congress alliance ahead of the BJP
Most exit polls suggested smaller parties and Independents could win 6-18 seats and could emerge crucial for the formation of the next
government.First Published: Oct 05 2024 | 9:26 PMIST