INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
policy under Trump significantly differed from Biden's and the broader deep state
A for Syria likely involves dialogue between regional sponsors, like Turkey and Qatar versus Saudi Arabia and the UAE
The latter with Egypt are watching developments with suspicion and caution but lack significant control over the situation
Once a Persian Gulf-friendly regime is in place, a peace deal with Israel might follow
would monitor Turkey's actions in Syria to protect its allies, and Syria would remain divided until it is stabilized.Plan B for Syria under
Trump, if the conflict continued, could consist of Syria partitioned into four zones: Turkish-controlled, U.S.-backed Kurdish areas,
Israeli-controlled, and a lawless zone
Trump will unlikely withdraw U.S
forces unless they are under threat
would limit Turkish influence without direct intervention, supporting the Kurds in their areas and maintaining a presence in the Euphrates
Unlike Iran, Turkey prefers direct interventions, aiming to annex Aleppo and Hama, if granted international approval
into the Syrian army, as the U.S
It seized opportunities to expand its influence and gained control over water sources in elevated regions
It aims to maintain its presence, viewing it as compensation for unfulfilled goals in Lebanon
The new Syrian regime will neither challenge nor confront the entity, even verbally, though local resistance could emerge.Europe,
particularly France, is closely monitoring developments
It has already contacted some Druze leaders, encouraging them to seek French protection
Its presence in Syria had a significant impact and was advantageous for its political, economic, and military influence in the Middle East
Its arms sales to the countries in the region had started as a strong competitor to Western weapons
The Russians dreamed of reaching the Mediterranean and warm waters, and they achieved this, therefore it is unclear why Russia withdrew
Even if the matter is related to a deal about Ukraine with Trump, it does not justify such a significant loss.Iran has effectively withdrawn
from Syria, though it retains networks and individuals it worked with during its long presence
However, Iran avoids fighting on behalf of those unwilling to defend themselves
Unlike other powers, Iran prefers to engage locally to form goal-oriented groups for fighting terrorism or the occupation entity, rather
than establish permanent military bases
terrorism, now dominate Syria but face internal divisions
The West and the global order are receptive to Julani, as he complies with their demands, potentially prolonging his rule
However, military success does not guarantee a lasting political role, and his position may diminish
He is someone who lacks practical depth or a credible public image
