INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
allows any signatory to reinstate pre-existing UN sanctions against Iran if they determine that the country is not staying true to the
legal right to invoke the JCPOA's snapback mechanism
Under the agreement, Iran had committed to limiting its nuclear activities in exchange for the termination of sanctions, making the U.S
arguably have a strong incentive to avoid triggering the snapback
Tehran has threatened to consider withdrawing from the NPT if the snapback is invoked, arguing that it only began to scale back on some of
its JCPOA commitments after the U.S
withdrawal and the subsequent failure of the remaining signatories to adequately mitigate the impact of Western sanctions
Furthermore, Iran maintains that it continues to fully cooperate with the IAEA and has not initiated efforts to develop nuclear
weapons.Given these circumstances, if Iran upholds its remaining JCPOA commitments and refrains from further escalating its nuclear
activities, why would other parties risk provoking a drastic response by triggering the snapback mechanism? Iran already faces heavy
sanctions, and the pre-existing UN sanctions would likely have minimal additional impact
Thus, why force a potential withdrawal from the NPT? While many struggle to understand why the European trio might still be willing to
escalate tensions, the latest U.S
actions, widely perceived as a humiliation for Europe regarding Ukraine, offer a clue.When the war in Ukraine began in early 2022, European
Subsequently, Europeans experienced unprecedented inflation and saw their economies enter recession, with the long-term outlook for the
President Donald Trump is cutting a deal with Russia on the war with Ukraine, and he does not care if Europeans are willing to be a part of
When Americans and Russians convened in Riyadh this month to discuss an end to the war, neither Europe nor Ukraine were allowed to sit at
Recently, Trump also killed a UN resolution proposed by the European trio that condemned the Russian invasion
Conference shed as he gave a speech at the end of the summit earlier this month
This reality may help us understand why Europe continues to escalate tensions with Iran, despite knowing that the outcome will not benefit
Mehdi Khanalizadeh, West Asia analyst and scholar
Europe does not want to let Russia win in Ukraine
France, Britain, and the EU have held multiple rounds of talks on various issues, including the fate of the JCPOA, since last year
Kazem Gharibabadi, Iran's deputy foreign minister for legal and international affairs, has told Iranian media that a new round of talks is
likely to be held within three weeks
Khanalizadeh, however, believes the potential activation of the snapback depends on Washington, rather than the results of the ongoing
If they are told to activate the snapback mechanism, they will do that even if they reckon that the move does not align with their
