Brazil’s Financial Morning Call for April 11, 2025

INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
Brazilian markets face a critical day today, driven by key domestic and international economic releases
These reports will offer insights into inflationary pressures, economic activity, and global sentiment amid escalating U.S.-China trade
A higher-than-expected reading could heighten concerns about persistent price pressures, potentially prompting tighter monetary policy from
(consensus: 0.1%, previous: -0.1%) will reflect economic growth trends in a key market
A weaker-than-expected figure could signal softening demand for Brazilian exports like agricultural goods, while a rebound might stabilize
(Photo Internet reproduction)Also at 02:00 AM (EST) / 03:00 AM (BRT), UK Industrial Production (MoM) for February (consensus: 0.1%,
previous: -0.9%) will measure industrial activity
Stable or lower inflation could support demand for Brazilian commodities, while an uptick might tighten monetary conditions, impacting
trade.At 08:30 AM (EST) / 09:30 AM (BRT), the U.S
reading could fuel expectations of sustained U.S
interest rates, strengthening the dollar and pressuring the real, while a decline might ease global risk-off sentiment, supporting Brazilian
assets.At 10:00 AM (EST) / 11:00 AM (BRT), the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for April (consensus: 54.0, previous: 57.0) will reflect
U.S
consumer confidence.A drop could hint at reduced demand for Brazilian goods, impacting commodity prices, while stability or improvement
Activity (Feb): Actual TBD, consensus TBD, previous 0.90%
consensus 0.1%, previous -0.1%
consensus 0.1%, previous -0.9%
consensus 2.2%, previous 2.2%
consensus 3.3%, previous 3.2%
Gauges U.S
TBD, consensus 54.0, previous 57.0
Measures U.S
sharp declines on April 10, 2025, with the Ibovespa dropping 1.31% to close at 126,015 points, reflecting global market jitters driven by
iron ore reliant on Chinese demand.Read more on stocksThe Brazilian real weakened slightly, with the USD/BRL exchange rate rising to
support.The U.S
Dollar Index (DXY) fell 1.90% to 99.705, its lowest level this month, following U.S
inflation data showing a 0.1% monthly decrease and a yearly rate of 2.4%.Read more on currencyU.S
Markets YesterdayU.S
The S&P 500 fell 188.85 points, or 3.5%, to 5,268.05.The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1,014.79 points, or 2.5%, to 39,593.66, and
the Nasdaq composite sank 737.66 points, or 4.3%, to 16,387.31
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies lost 81.77 points, or 4.3%, to 1,831.39.Losses accelerated after the White House confirmed 145%
This risk-off sentiment amplified pressures on Brazilian assets.CommoditiesOil PricesBrent crude prices fell over 3% on April 10, 2025, amid
U.S.-China trade war disruptions, though they edged up slightly as supply fears lingered
PPI and consumer sentiment data critical for demand signals.Read MoreGold PricesGold soared to $3,175 per ounce on April 10, 2025, driven by
heightened safe-haven demand amid global trade tensions
PricesSilver prices reached $31.243 per ounce on April 10, 2025, reflecting a cautious recovery in global markets amid trade uncertainties
stabilized on April 10, 2025, despite trade war pressures, as supply shifts provided some support
MoreCryptocurrenciesBitcoin formed a potential bullish triangle pattern after a 15% price correction, stabilizing on April 10, 2025
headwinds
exploring new frontiers in India and Africa, alongside a planned oil auction to raise R$20 billion, reflecting strategic expansion amid
fiscal pressures
data will influence market direction amid persistent trade risks.Read MoreAdditional CompaniesJunto Seguros: Strengthened market leadership
major acquisition, driving strategic growth in the banking sector.Read MoreAgrogalaxy: Secured approval for a debt recovery plan after a
12-hour assembly, signaling financial restructuring to navigate economic challenges.Read More