INSUBCONTINENT EXCLUSIVE:
volatility, and inherited fiscal challenges from the previous administration.The International Monetary Fund (IMF) confirmed the figure,
faces balancing fiscal consolidation with infrastructure and social programs amid an economic contraction projected by the IMF.The debt
burden reflects both structural and cyclical pressures
Pressures and Global Headwinds
(SHRFSP) debt metric is expected to reach 52.7% of GDP by 2025, per BBVA Research, exceeding government forecasts.Servicing the debt
consumes 1.4 trillion pesos annually, a 5.4% real increase from 2024
tranche priced at 7.375%.Investors demand greater risk premiums amid concerns over constitutional reforms and potential credit rating
2030.Private economists remain skeptical, with 71% predicting worsening conditions in Bank of Mexico surveys
temporarily.Tax revenue remains stagnant at 14.5% of GDP, limiting fiscal flexibility
Global trade tensions add complexity
risks cloud the outlook.The peso has weakened 12% against the dollar since January, raising import costs
underscores the challenge of sustaining public investment while managing external shocks
to avoid long-term fiscal instability.
